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What if every Phillies player matched their best seasons in 2013?
by Scott Butler 1/11/13

Imagine for a second a world in which Carlos Ruiz hits .325, Ryan Howard hits 58 bombs, Chase Utley knocks in 100 runs, Rollins recreates his MVP season, Michael Young leads the league in hits, and Darin Ruf and Domonic Brown live up to the hype. In this imaginary land, Roy Halladay and Cliff Lee are Cy Young candidates once again, Cole Hamels has a 2.79 ERA, and Kyle Kendrick has a 3.22 ERA.

You gander towards the bullpen and discover a closer named Papelbon who gathers 35 saves with a 0.92 ERA, a setup man named Mike Adams with a 1.85 ERA, and a gentleman named Antonio Bastardo with a 2.64 ERA. In the dugout sits Freddy Galvis, who learns how to hit and continues his wizardry in the field; John Mayberry, who hits like it is August 2011; and Erik Kratz, who continues the legend with one behemoth home run after another.

Now set the table, light some candles, pour some wine, throw on some Marvin Gay, and wait for Olivia Wilde to show up, because you are as likely to spend an evening with her as you are to live in such a Phillies winter wonderland. 

But a guy can dream, can’t he?

What if by some strange twist of fate the madness I described plays itself out in 2013? What if every Phillies player matches his career best season in 2013?

I thought it might be fun to entertain that scenario, so I tossed logic out the window and took the best full single seasons of every Phillies player and assembled them as a team.  For most of the regulars it was pretty easy to determine the best season, which for the most part meant the best ERA or the best OPS.  I had to dip into the minors for some of the younger guys, but I tried to use their highest professional level (ie single-A, triple-A, or the majors). 

So here is a list of the Phillies likely Opening Day roster using their career best seasons and prorated to match the Phillies' total plate appearances last season. I also compared those figures to the best NL team totals from last season. Here's how it worked for the offense.

Phillies 2013 Projected Offensive Totals vs. 2012 NL Best

  YEAR TEAM PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
Ruiz 2012 PHI 425 376 57 122 32 0 16 69 29 50 4 .325 .394 .540 .935
Utley 2007 PHI 675 540 106 179 49 5 22 105 51 91 9 .332 .410 .566 .976
Howard 2006 PHI 675 557 100 175 24 1 56 143 104 174 0 .313 .425 .659 1.084
Rollins 2007 PHI 675 590 115 175 31 16 25 78 40 70 34 .296 .344 .531 .875
Young 2005 TEX 675 570 97 189 34 4 20 78 50 78 4 .331 .385 .513 .899
Revere 2012 MIN 675 578 79 170 15 7 0 36 33 61 45 .294 .333 .342 .675
Kratz 2011 AAA 300 263 41 76 14 0 11 39 28 53 1 .288 .372 .466 .838
Brown 2010 AA,AAA 450 336 64 110 22 4 20 67 36 73 17 .327 .391 .589 .980
Galvis 2011 AA,AAA 197 138 20 38 7 1 2 11 8 22 6 .278 .324 .392 .716
Ruf 2012 AA 500 377 72 119 25 1 29 80 50 79 2 .317 .408 .620 1.028
Frandsen 2012 PHI/AAA 300 171 18 54 13 1 1 14 7 14 1 .314 .350 415 .765
Mayberry 2011 PHI 325 293 41 80 19 1 16 54 29 60 9 .273 .341 .513 .854
Nix 2010 CIN 300 272 26 79 18 3 7 30 25 64 0 .291 .350 .455 .805
2013 Totals     6172 5061 835 1565 302 45 225 802 489 888 131 .309 .377 .520 .897
2012 NL Best         776 1526 307 57 202 741 567 1094 158 .274 .338 .437 .766
+/-         +59 +39 +5 -12 +23 +61 -78 206 -27 +35 +39 +83 +131

That is what you call a dream team. This pretend offense would have completely obliterated the competition. The bottom row of the chart compares the Phillies totals with the NL Best stats with green cells indicating areas in which the Phillies were better and grey cells indicating areas in which they were worse.

As you can see, the Phillies score 59 more runs, hit 23 more home runs, and have 206 less strikeouts. Their batting average is 35 points higher, their on-base percentage is 39 points higher, their slugging percentage is 83 points higher, and their OPS is 131 points higher. I'm pretty sure CBP will sell out every single game with such Ruthian production.

Now onto the pitching. The pitching side is not quite as exciting, but it is equally as impressive.

Phillies 2013 Projected Pitching Totals vs. 2012 NL Best

  YEAR TEAM W L ERA G GS CG SHO IP H R ER BB SO WHIP
Adams 2011 SD, TX 5 4 1.47 75 0 0 0 73.2 44 13 12 14 74 0.79
Bastardo 2011 PHI 6 1 2.64 64 0 0 0 58 28 17 17 26 70 0.93
Halladay 2011 PHI 19 6 2.35 32 32 8 1 233.2 208 65 61 35 220 1.04
Hamels 2011 PHI 14 9 2.79 32 31 3 0 216 169 68 67 44 194 0.99
Kendrick 2011 PHI 8 6 3.22 34 15 0 0 114.2 110 50 41 30 59 1.22
Aumont 2011 AA, AAA 2 5 2.68 43 0 0 0 53.2 44 25 16 25 78 1.29
De Fratus 2011 AA, AAA 6 3 2.99 51 0 0 0 75.1 63 30 25 16 71 0.98
Diekman 2012 PHI, AAA 2 2 2.83 57 0 0 0 54 44 22 17 33 72 1.43
Lannan 2011 WSH 10 13 3.70 33 33 0 0 184.2 194 90 76 76 106 1.46
Lee 2011 PHI 17 8 2.40 32 32 6 6 232.2 197 66 62 42 238 1.03
Papelbon 2006 BOS 4 2 0.92 59 0 0 0 68.1 40 8 7 13 75 0.78
Stutes 2011 PHI 6 2 3.63 57 0 0 0 62 49 25 25 28 58 1.24
2013 Totals     99 61 2.69 569 143 17 7 1426.2 1190 479 426 382 1315 1.10
2012 NL Best     98 64 3.33     9 16 1468.1 1637 588 538 409 1402 1.22
+/-     +1 -3 -0.64     +8 -9 -41.2 -447 -109 -112 -27 -87 -.12

The Phillies beat the 2012 NL best ERA by 64 points, allow 447 less hits, 112 less earned runs, 27 less walks, and their WHIP (walks plus hits per inning pitched) is 12 points better. To put into perspective just how huge those numbers are, the Phillies 2011 staff finished with an ERA 18 points better than the next best team vs. 64 points in this scenario. Their WHIP in 2011 was just seven points better compared to 12 points here.

How good are they?

What would this mean for the 2013 Philadelphia Phillies if these totals played out in exactly this manner? I'll tell you what. It would be one of the greatest single seasons in baseball history. When the Phillies won 102 games in 2011, the scored 184 more runs than they allowed, while this squad would have a difference of 356 runs, a rate nearly double that of 2011. I am not going out on a limb to say the 2013 Phillies would set the record for most wins in MLB history.

None of this means Jack squat for those of us without our head in the clouds. But what we can learn from this is just how talented a roster resides in Philadelphia. The Phils are loaded with players with tremendous past accomplishments. If they could recapture even a sliver of their prior glory, we are in store for an incredible season.

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2011 Phillies Playoff Central 2011 Phillies Playoff Central