PhilsBaseball.com www.philsbaseball.com

Phillies projections at the one-third mark
by Scott Butler 6/2/14

We have reached the one-third mark of the Phillies season, so it is projection time. After watching 57 innings and 17 hours, 19 minutes of grueling Phillies and Mets action, I don’t have the energy to provide any commentary whatsoever here. After 17+ hours of pitching coaches creating dirt paths to the mound, Mets catchers conversing with pitchers, and one middle reliever after another put up zeros against inept offenses, I am here for no other reason than provide the sad numbers.

At the current rate at the one-third mark, they will finish with the third worst pitching staff and 10th ranked offense in runs scored. You can see more of the team totals and rankings from before yesterday’s game (and technically one game before the one-third mark) right here.

The Phillies are on pace to lose 90 games with the fifth worst record in baseball and third worst in the National League, 18 games out of first, 12 games behind the wild card leader, and 6 games from second-to-last place.

As for the individual projections, here are the prorated numbers of the hitters, starters, and relievers if we multiply everything by three.

Enjoy!

Phillies Offensive Projections

  AB HR RBI R 2B 3B BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS
Byrd 609 12 81 93 66 9 48 99 3 3 .278 .332 .483 .815
Howard 465 3 30 69 39 3 75 69 6 3 .229 .301 .434 .735
Utley 570 3 24 69 3 9 12 63 45 6 .320 .381 .517 .898
Rollins 627 24 96 72 51 3 45 198 0 0 .251 .352 .397 .749
Revere 123 3 12 6 9 0 0 42 3 0 .284 .299 .337 .636
Brown 360 12 54 42 24 0 48 90 0 3 .205 .264 .314 .577
Ruiz 597 18 66 84 21 6 93 108 21 6 .290 .403 .406 .810
Asche 615 33 117 81 21 3 63 204 0 0 .258 .346 .425 .771
Gwynn 147 6 27 12 12 0 27 33 0 0 .169 .281 .195 .476
Mayberry 555 12 81 45 18 3 45 108 12 3 .224 .345 .429 .773
Nieves 231 0 9 36 6 0 36 48 6 0 .268 .286 .415 .700

 

Phillies Starting Pitcher Projections

  W L ERA G GS IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG WHIP
Lee 4 4 3.18 10 10 68.0 78 31 24 5 9 61 .287 1.28
Hernandez 2 2 3.76 12 9 52.2 55 23 22 6 27 42 .261 1.56
Burnett 3 4 3.79 12 12 73.2 69 38 31 6 37 64 .255 1.44
Buchanan 1 1 3.86 2 2 11.2 12 6 5 1 2 4 .250 1.20
Hamels 1 3 4.01 8 8 51.2 49 24 23 4 19 52 .253 1.32
Kendrick 1 5 4.21 11 11 68.1 72 35 32 9 21 42 .267 1.36

 

Phillies Bullpen Projections

  W L ERA G GS SV SVO IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG WHIP
Papelbon 1 1 1.61 23 0 13 14 22.1 15 4 4 0 9 19 .190 1.07
Adams 2 1 2.16 18 0 0 2 16.2 13 6 4 1 7 19 .213 1.20
Hollands 1 1 3.15 22 0 0 0 20.0 14 7 7 2 8 17 .200 1.10
De Fratus 1 0 3.48 9 0 0 1 10.1 6 4 4 2 2 6 .162 0.77
Diekman 2 2 3.81 26 0 0 2 28.1 24 13 12 4 11 37 .229 1.24
Bastardo 3 3 3.86 26 0 0 1 25.2 16 11 11 2 20 31 .182 1.40
Manship 1 1 5.89 16 0 0 0 18.1 17 12 12 1 11 14 .243 1.53

Previous article: Phillies monthly review: May 2014

Next article: AJ Burnett was a steal...now he is stealing money

comments powered by Disqus

Phillies Win/Loss ChartIf you are a Phillies fan, I think you will enjoy this. Available now!