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Who is the most consistent Phillies starter: Halladay, Lee, or Hamels?
by Scott Butler 8/13/11

As the Phillies roll along in their ridiculous season (on pace for 106 wins), don't forget that it was Roy Halladay, Cliff Lee, and Cole Hamels who got us there. Even when the Phillies weren't hitting, they were rarely further than a couple hits away from tying the game. The Phillies record is a great example that if your pitchers keep it close, good things will happen.

Last night's game was a perfect example. Cole Hamels barely hit 90mph on the gun and had no control and no luck, yet he limited the damage and only gave up three runs. Hamels stunk, yet he gave the Phillies a chance.

I thought it might be interesting to see how Halladay, Lee, and Hamels compare. Which of the three studs is the best at "bending but not breaking?"

Perhaps the best way to judge consistency is to examine who is the best at avoiding the "bad" outings. So, I looked at each start and charted the outings in which they gave up three or more runs. Note that Halladay and Lee have 24 starts each and Hamels now has 25. The below chart shows you how many times each pitcher has given up 3 runs or more, 4 runs or more, and 5 runs or more.

Roy Halladay
3+ runs 9 times
4+ runs 4 times
5+ runs 2 times
Highest run totals: 5, 6

Cole Hamels
3+ runs 7 times
4+ runs 3 times
5+ runs 2 times
Highest run totals: 6, 7

Cliff Lee
3+ runs 12 times
4+ runs 7 times
5+ runs 4 times
Highest run totals: 5, 6, 6, 7

Here now is a breakdown of who was the best in each of the categories:

3 or more runs
Hamels - 7
Halladay - 9
Lee - 12

4 or more runs
Hamels - 3
Halladay - 4
Lee - 7

5 or more runs
Hamels - 2
Halladay - 2
Lee - 4

In this analogy, Hamels has been the most consistent and Lee the least consistent. You can see that Hamels has given up two runs or less in 18 of his 25 starts, or 72% of his starts. The Phillies offense has to love those numbers. I never forget to remind you that I picked Hamels to win the Cy Young award, and this provides some points in his favor.

We may have to revisit these numbers in October, because it will be awfully tough to beat these starters 4 times in a 7 game series.

Phillies Win/Loss ChartIf you are a Phillies fan, I think you will enjoy this. Available now!